tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20998197.post114132277066144275..comments2023-09-13T16:09:12.127+05:30Comments on Abhishek's: India, US seal N-deal: Has Delhi given away a lot?Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12947565346209543311noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20998197.post-1141879593504325032006-03-09T10:16:00.000+05:302006-03-09T10:16:00.000+05:30There is no doubt that alternate energy research p...There is no doubt that alternate energy research project are required, not just for India but overall for whole world. A breakthrough there can mean a breakthrough in "war against terrorism" too as all their funding channels somehow link to the oil business. <BR/><BR/>But, given the fact that we are nowhere close on that front and nobody knows when something tangible would energy, so we need oil to hang on up till that time. Oil prices are rising above $60 per barrel, and it is expected that it will soon go up to $100. This high price cannot be afforded by Indian economy and we need to get ourselves a committed supply for next 10-20 years. Iran seems to be easiest option and most viable if we cross over the US sponsored hurdle.<BR/><BR/>Coming to Pakistan, I may be wrong, but my hunch is that its Pakistani Army who indeed has supreme control over everything that goes on in their territory. And if Pakistan is as oil thirsty as we are, then it would be in its own interest to protect the pipeline. Also if we look into the positive side of you concern, then it means a huge lot of Pak army will be protecting pipeline which will mean that there would be fewer available to help terrorist infiltrate into Kashmir :)<BR/><BR/>I know I am being too optimistic with Pakistan, but I do not see a solution to Indian economy's energy needs otherwise. We just need to "educate" Pakistan on benefits of a better economy!Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12947565346209543311noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20998197.post-1141858244506855982006-03-09T04:20:00.000+05:302006-03-09T04:20:00.000+05:30Abhishek I understand where you are coming fro...Abhishek<BR/> I understand where you are coming from and I don't deny the sense in both of your logics. Pakistan, historically, has not had control over all its elements. For instance, even today, Pakistan is trying to control the terrorism from its side of the border but is unable to do it. For every India - Pakistan joint venture, be it anti-terrorism or energy, there will be say around 30% of influential people on the other side who would be against it. The rest 70% might want it and get it endorsed but the 30% might have enough power to disrupt normal operation.<BR/><BR/>Pakistan has had strong dissidents within it ranks, and mark my words here, even if something does happen to the pipe line, all that the Pakistan 'officials' can do is throw their hands up and say 'it wasn't us,we tried but ..... ' .<BR/><BR/>The point being that any venture which has so much risk should not be taken. The Pak government might protect it today, but tomorrow they might have a relegious fanatic government which may go ahead and destroy it, or some excited terrorists protesting the visit of an Indian PM or .... you get the point.<BR/><BR/>You must note here that I am not offering an alternative solution, am only pointing out a big flaw in the current setup. The only viable long term solution that I can think of is look within India for an energy source. Strong research projects should be started to tap into alternative fuels. India would need to develop its own solution, if it has to grow the way we all want it to grow.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20998197.post-1141839529163066372006-03-08T23:08:00.000+05:302006-03-08T23:08:00.000+05:30Hey VenuNice to hear from you. Hope to see you soo...Hey Venu<BR/><BR/>Nice to hear from you. Hope to see you soon.<BR/><BR/>One the pipeline issue, Even though Pakistan cannot be relied upon, I feel there are two reasons which make sense to "partner" Pak for an oil pipeline from Iran.<BR/><BR/>1. We need oil at a good rate. Iran is one of a promising source but geography constrains us to involve Pakistan. Bypassing it may make pipeline unviable. Getting it through Pak may even lessen our capital expenditure burden by sharing pipeline cost with Pak.<BR/><BR/>2. If at all this pipeline comes, It will be a matter of enormous international interest and whole world would be watching. Hence Pakistan will do whatever possible (should not be hard for it) to protect the pipeline from any possible terrorist attack. Also Pak is oil thirsty and would be drawing oil from it. So it will not be desired by it to disrupt supplies. <BR/><BR/>Considering the fact that Iran will gain much more from selling oil to India than Pak, any abuse from Pak will ensure that it will also lose. <BR/><BR/>Also as per the old trick of making thief an Inspector makes him responsible lets give it a try. After all Indian Railways has started making profits under "leadership" of Laloo irrespective of all gimmicks.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12947565346209543311noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20998197.post-1141836410440923512006-03-08T22:16:00.000+05:302006-03-08T22:16:00.000+05:30Interesting analysis! And I agree with it.BTW, I a...Interesting analysis! And I agree with it.<BR/>BTW, I am also a fellow ISB admit for 2007 class. <BR/><BR/>On similar lines, but on a different subject is my objection is to India - Iran pipeline. Even with all this positive vibes from Pakistan, any venture of such importance should NOT include Pakistan at this stage. Period. What do you think?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com